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Published on 25.01.2026
TLDR: OpenAI is entering what analysts call its "valley of death" period (2026-2030), facing mounting competition from Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta, and Chinese AI labs like Alibaba's Qwen and DeepSeek. Despite raising approximately $64 billion, the company's cash burn outpaces revenue growth, and their enterprise market share is declining even as the overall market expands.
OpenAI is about to face Real Competition
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